Insights

Remarkable breakthroughs in AI progress, and sharp commentary from the field's most incisive thinkers.

Geopolitical Risk

Huawei Says It Has a New Law of Physics

He Tingbo, chairwoman of Huawei's semiconductor business, proposed a replacement for Moore's Law. Huawei is also calling it Her's Law. The new law's first claim is that Huawei plans to be three years behind TSMC in 2031, instead of five years behind today, which is being reported as a narrowing of the chip gap and which is, technically, a narrowing of the chip gap.

3 min read
AI Infrastructure Insights
Geopolitical Risk

Mythos Got Better Without a New Release

The UK AI Security Institute tested a newer Mythos Preview checkpoint and found it solved one cyber range in 6 of 10 attempts (up from 3) and a previously unsolved second range in 3 of 10. AISI's own framing flags the obvious problem: model capabilities can jump materially between checkpoints, which complicates every pre-deployment evaluation regime currently being drafted.

3 min read
Agentic Security Insights
AI Infrastructure

Google Is Going to Space Too

The Wall Street Journal reported that Google is in talks with SpaceX to build data centers in orbit. Google has been researching space-based compute since November of last year under a project called Suncatcher. Neither company is confirming anything, but the underlying physics argument is genuine, the SpaceX IPO context is interesting, and nobody has answered the jurisdiction question yet.

3 min read
Geopolitical Risk Insights
AI Infrastructure

Claude Is Going to Space

Anthropic announced a deal for the entirety of compute capacity at SpaceX-owned xAI’s Colossus 1 supercomputer in Memphis, plus a footnote about jointly developing multiple gigawatts of compute capacity in orbit. The deal lands in the middle of week two of Elon Musk’s federal trial against Sam Altman.

5 min read
Insights Geopolitical Risk
AI Infrastructure

The AI Buildout Goes to Sea

Panthalassa raised $140 million from Peter Thiel and friends to put AI inference compute on floating platforms powered by ocean waves. The pitch is that wave power is cheap and abundant, and that inference workloads are forgiving enough to make the rest of the engineering trade-offs worth it.

4 min read
Geopolitical Risk Insights
Geopolitical Risk

The White House Wants Mythos for Itself

The administration told Anthropic it opposes expanding Mythos access to roughly 70 organizations, but no one can say exactly what 'opposes' means here. There is no reported legal order, no regulatory action, no formal mechanism. There is just a government that wants a frontier capability for itself and would prefer that others not have it.

3 min read
Agentic Security Insights
AI Infrastructure

The Specialist Layer of the AI Buildout

Every company with expertise adjacent to compute, networking, or deep learning is repositioning as an AI infrastructure provider. The hyperscaler capex numbers get most of the attention. The more interesting part of the story is happening in the specialist tier underneath.

6 min read
Insights